Improving Indigenous population projections

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Presenter:  Associate Professor Tom Wilson

Date: Jul 01, 2015

Time: 1:30pm to 2:30pm

Contact person:  Katrina Britnell, Partnerships Coordinator, NI
T: 08 8946 6838

Location:  Northern Institute - Yellow Building 1, Level 2, Room 48 (Red Room), Casuarina Campus, CDU


Northern Institute - People. Policy. Place. Seminar 2015

 Improving Indigenous population projections


Projections of the Indigenous population have been produced regularly for several decades, yet their ability to forecast the future has proved limited. For projections to be useful for planning and policy purposes efforts need to be redoubled to improve forecast accuracy and enhance the usefulness of projections for users. This presentation reviews recent research and suggests ways in which improvements can be made in terms of:

  • data quality
  • understanding past trends affecting the Indigenous population
  • developing projection models which better represent Indigenous population dynamics
  • more effective communication of projection outputs and guidance for users

About Dr Wilson

Tom Wilson is a demographer in the Queensland Centre for Population Research at The University of Queensland. His principal research interests include demographic projections, migration analysis, household demography, Indigenous demography, and regional and local population change in Australia. He works closely with Australian State Governments to understand and forecast State demographic change for planning and policy purposes. He was awarded his PhD from Leeds University in 2001 for his work on subnational population projection methods.



Presentation can be video-conferenced/Skyped on request

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